Two new polls show Democrats leading the races for Governor and U.S. Senate

Posted at 1:43 PM, Oct 29, 2018
and last updated 2018-10-30 08:18:43-04

Two new polls out Monday show Democrats leading Michigan's gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races. But each poll of likely voters tells a different story about those races.

An Emerson College poll gives Gretchen Whitmer a 10-point lead over Bill Schuette in the race for governor.

Whitmer (D): 51.7%
Schuette (R): 41.3%
Undecided/Other: 7%
Margin of Error: +/-3.6%

Emerson last surveyed the race in July. That poll had Whitmer in front by 7 points. A new poll from Mitchell Research shows a closer race with Whitmer in front of Schuette by 5 points.

Whitmer (D): 48%
Schuette (R): 43%
Undecided/Other: 8%
Margin of Error: +/-5%

The previous Mitchell Research poll had Whitmer leading by 8 points in early October. The Web site Real Clear Politics, which averages 4 different polls released since October 22, says Whitmer leads by 8.7 points.

The new polling also shows Senator Debbie Stabenow leading John James in the race for U.S. Senate. Emerson college gives the incumbent a 9-point lead.

Stabenow (D): 51.9%
James (R): 42.5%
Undecided/Other: 5.6%
Margin of Error: +/-3.6%

Emerson's last poll, taken in July, had Staebenow up 18 points. The Mitchell Rersearch poll shows the race getting tighter. It has Stabenow up 6 points.

Stabenow (D): 52%
James (R): 46%
Undecided/Other: 2%
Margin of Error: +/-5%

The previous Mitchell poll gave Stabenow a 9-point lead. The Real Clear Politics average of 3 polls released since October 25 has Stabenow with a 7.3-point lead.

The Emerson College poll also asked likely voters about Proposal 1, which would legalize Marijuana for recreational use, and Proposal 2, which would create an independent redistricting commission.

Proposal 1 - Legalize marijuana
Yes: 55.1%
No: 39.6%
Undecided: 5.4%
Margin of Error: +/-3.6%

Proposal 2 - Independent redistricting commission
Yes: 50.2%
No: 24.5%
Undecided: 25.3%
Margin of Error: +/-3.6%

The poll did not ask about Proposal 3, which would allow any-reason absentee voting, straight-ticket voting and same-day registration. Other polls have shown strong support for all three proposals.